Bitcoin Drops to $120K as Spot Gold Hits Record High

Bitcoin Price Movement

  • Bitcoin has dropped 2.22% in the past 24 hours, currently trading near $121,000.
  • The price is down 3.75% from its recent all-time high of $126,000.

Spot BTC ETFs Activity

  • Recent spot BTC ETFs recorded the second-highest inflow since January 2024, totaling $1.19 billion on Oct. 6.
  • BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust led with $967 million in inflows, but there were outflows of $23.81 million on Oct. 7.

Probability of Price Increase

  • Economist Timothy Peterson suggests there's a 50% chance Bitcoin could exceed $140,000 by the end of October.
  • There is also a 43% chance it could close below $136,000 due to market volatility.

Gold Market Surge

  • Spot gold reached an all-time high of $4,017.16 per ounce on Oct. 8.
  • US gold futures for December delivery rose to $4,040 per ounce.
  • Gold's year-to-date performance is up 53%, following a 27% gain in 2024.

On-Chain Data Insights

  • Bitcoin’s Fund Flow Ratio has fallen to its lowest level since July 2023, indicating reduced selling pressure.
  • This suggests more Bitcoin is being held in private wallets or used in DeFi applications rather than moved for liquidation.

Bitcoin fund flow ratio | Source: CryptoQuant

This behavior often precedes medium-term bullish trends, as investors look for new investment opportunities.