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Bitcoin ETF Flows Reverse as Stablecoin Supply Decreases
NYDIG's research indicates the recent decline in Bitcoin is due to structural liquidity issues rather than emotional selling. Key factors include:
- A large liquidation in early October reversed spot ETF flows, lowered digital asset treasury (DAT) premiums, and reduced stablecoin supply, indicating liquidity withdrawal.
- Spot Bitcoin ETFs shifted from buyers to sellers, reducing demand and impacting prices.
- Bitcoin's market dominance rose above 60% as traders moved away from smaller assets, consolidating into more liquid options.
- Despite cooling demand, the DAT sector remains solvent with structures allowing for payment flexibility.
- Analysts highlight a CME gap at $85,200 as a potential price target before a rebound to $90,000–$96,000.
The current market stress relates to flows and liquidity, not solvency. While long-term prospects like institutional interest persist, short-term volatility is expected until liquidity improves.