Bitcoin ETF Flows Reverse as Stablecoin Supply Decreases

NYDIG's research indicates the recent decline in Bitcoin is due to structural liquidity issues rather than emotional selling. Key factors include:

  • A large liquidation in early October reversed spot ETF flows, lowered digital asset treasury (DAT) premiums, and reduced stablecoin supply, indicating liquidity withdrawal.
  • Spot Bitcoin ETFs shifted from buyers to sellers, reducing demand and impacting prices.
  • Bitcoin's market dominance rose above 60% as traders moved away from smaller assets, consolidating into more liquid options.
  • Despite cooling demand, the DAT sector remains solvent with structures allowing for payment flexibility.
  • Analysts highlight a CME gap at $85,200 as a potential price target before a rebound to $90,000–$96,000.

The current market stress relates to flows and liquidity, not solvency. While long-term prospects like institutional interest persist, short-term volatility is expected until liquidity improves.