Bitcoin Mean Reversion Oscillator Shows Possible Bull-Market Bottom Signal

Bitcoin is currently struggling around the $90K mark amid intense selling pressure and market fear. Despite this, key on-chain metrics suggest that the correction phase may be nearing its end.

  • The Mean Reversion Oscillator has printed its first green oversold bar in months, historically indicating a potential macro bottom or an upcoming significant rebound.
  • This indicator suggests strong hands are absorbing supply as Bitcoin consolidates above $90K, despite liquidations and structural fear.

Historical Bottom Signals

  • The Mean Reversion Oscillator's current reading aligns with historical patterns seen during bull market retracements, suggesting a cyclical bottom formation.
  • NVIDIA’s strong earnings have bolstered confidence in U.S. equities, which could positively impact higher-risk assets like crypto by improving liquidity and sentiment.

Testing Support Levels

  • Bitcoin is attempting to stabilize near $92,000 after a recent decline from $100K, showing reduced selling momentum.
  • The 50-day and 100-day moving averages have turned downward, but the broader bullish cycle remains intact with the 200-day MA below the current price.
  • Volume profiles indicate panic selling is cooling off, often preceding a relief bounce even if volatility continues.

Mean Reversion Oscillator | Source: On-Chain Mind

Overall, while short-term sentiment remains fragile, underlying indicators point towards potential stabilization and recovery for Bitcoin.