Bitcoin Rebounds End September 2025 Amid Weak Dollar and Gold Highs

Bitcoin's September 2025 Rebound:

  • Bitcoin experienced a significant rebound in late September 2025 following a period of intense selling pressure.
  • The recovery was driven by several factors: a weakened dollar, record gold prices, steady fund inflows, and signs of renewed accumulation.

Macro Shifts Impacting Bitcoin's Surge

  • The Federal Reserve's rate cut on September 17 weakened the dollar, pushing investors towards hard assets like gold and subsequently Bitcoin.
  • Concerns about the US fiscal deficit led investors to seek inflation-resistant assets, benefiting Bitcoin.

Institutional Interest Boosts Momentum

  • The SEC relaxed ETF listing rules, facilitating new products for XRP and DOGE, boosting institutional confidence.
  • Large funds such as BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC saw notable inflows, indicating institutional involvement rather than just retail interest.

Technical and Market Dynamics

  • A critical price barrier between $108,000 and $110,000 provided strong support during the reversal.
  • Momentum indicators suggested oversold conditions, prompting short covering and stabilizing market prices.
  • Long-term holders had taken profits, while short-term sellers capitulated, reducing immediate selling pressure.

On-Chain Metrics Indicate Accumulation

  • Exchange reserves dropped significantly as coins were moved off exchanges for long-term holding.
  • The MVRV ratio began to recover, showing an increase in market value relative to realized value.