4 October 2025
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Bitcoin Tests $123,825 Resistance Amid Rising Institutional Interest
The recent market activity shows Bitcoin approaching a crucial resistance level. It has maintained a steady pattern of higher highs and lows, with the current focus on breaking through the $123,825 resistance zone. If successful, the next target is around $131,000.
Key Observations:
- Bitcoin's trading channel remains robust, with prices supported near channel lows aligning with the market's point of control.
- Momentum is driven by increased open interest, indicating broader market participation.
- Institutional interest strengthens as Strategy’s Bitcoin holdings reach $77.4 billion.
Institutional Influx:
- Spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen significant inflows, totaling $58 billion, with $23 billion added this year alone.
- Analysts anticipate an additional $20 billion influx by year-end, potentially tightening supply on exchanges.
- Wall Street analysts predict bold price targets, including a near-term call of $135,000 and a possible $200,000 by 2025.
Market Dynamics:
- Price structure and open interest alignment suggest a healthy market trend, with each rally followed by consolidation.
- The area above previous highs lacks liquidity, causing rapid price movements.
Next Steps for Traders:
- Monitor the market behavior around the $123,500 level closely.
- A breakthrough with rising volume and open interest could drive prices toward $131,000.
- If resistance holds, expect a correction testing lower support levels within the channel.