Bitcoin Currently Trading Near On-Chain Fair Value Model

An on-chain analysis model indicates that Bitcoin is trading around its "fair value," neither overvalued nor undervalued.

Bitcoin's On-Chain Fair Value

  • A cycle analyst, Root, has shared insights using the On-chain Value Map, which assesses Bitcoin's valuation through three metrics: Realized Cap, Liquid Supply, and Coin Days Destroyed (CDD).
  • Realized Cap: This calculates Bitcoin's total value based on the last transaction price of each token. It reflects the capital used by investors to purchase BTC.
  • Liquid Supply: Tracks the portion of BTC held by investors who frequently move their coins, indicating potential supply returning to circulation.
  • Coin Days Destroyed (CDD): Measures coin days reset across the network, useful in identifying long-term holders' distribution activities.

Bitcoin On-Chain Value Map

The On-chain Value Map shows Bitcoin spiked above the "overvalued" level at its all-time high (ATH) in October but has since declined to the "fair value" level.

BTC Price

  • Since November's low, Bitcoin has remained close to the fair value indicated by the On-chain Value Map.
  • Currently trading around $87,600.

Bitcoin Price Chart