NewsBTC
Feb 17, 2026
2 0

BULLISH 📈 : Expert Predicts Bitcoin Bear Market Ending Within a Year

Bitcoin Market Analysis

  • Bitcoin is currently trading about 50% below its all-time high of $126,000 reached last October.
  • Market expert Altcoin Sherpa suggests the current bear phase may conclude within a year, potentially resuming an uptrend by the year's end.

Bear Phase and Accumulation

  • Sherpa's analysis indicates that Bitcoin's downturn might complete within a year from peak to bottom, excluding the accumulation period that follows.
  • The accumulation phase typically involves low volatility and subdued trading volume, lasting two to four months historically.

Historical Patterns

  • Bitcoin has seen year-long declines in previous cycles (2017-2018, 2021-2022) followed by extended accumulation periods.
  • A capitulation event, marked by sharp sell-offs, often signals the end of the downtrend. Sherpa notes a possible capitulation from $100,000 to $60,000 in 2026.

Current Market Dynamics

  • The role of US spot Bitcoin ETFs is considered significant, potentially altering capital flows and market structure.
  • Extended trading ranges between $50,000 and $70,000 might act as support zones during pullbacks.

Factors Influencing Timing

  • Macroeconomic factors such as equities, metals, risk appetite, and advancements in artificial intelligence are critical to market timing.
  • If the recent decline to $60,000 was the final capitulation, accumulation might already be underway, expected to last 60 to 120 days.
  • There remains a risk if another sell-off occurs, which could redefine the market bottom and extend the accumulation phase.

Bitcoin