Citi Projects Bitcoin Price of $135K by Year-End in Updated Forecast

Citi has updated its crypto valuation models, projecting a year-end price for bitcoin at $135,000. Key points include:

  • Optimistic scenario predicts bitcoin could reach $199,000.
  • Pessimistic outlook sees a drop to $64,000 due to weak equities.
  • Forecast factors in user adoption, macroeconomic conditions, and ETF demand.
  • User growth projected to increase by 20%, influencing a baseline price of $75,000.
  • Macroeconomic factors reduce the forecast by $3,200.
  • Estimated $15 billion in ETF flows adds approximately $63,000 to the price target.
  • ETF inflows contribute over 40% to recent BTC price variations.
  • Growing institutional flows and regulatory acceptance are crucial for future price movement.
  • Risks to the forecast lean towards positive, with accelerating ETF demand and sustained user activity.