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Citi Projects Bitcoin Price of $135K by Year-End in Updated Forecast
Citi has updated its crypto valuation models, projecting a year-end price for bitcoin at $135,000. Key points include:
- Optimistic scenario predicts bitcoin could reach $199,000.
- Pessimistic outlook sees a drop to $64,000 due to weak equities.
- Forecast factors in user adoption, macroeconomic conditions, and ETF demand.
- User growth projected to increase by 20%, influencing a baseline price of $75,000.
- Macroeconomic factors reduce the forecast by $3,200.
- Estimated $15 billion in ETF flows adds approximately $63,000 to the price target.
- ETF inflows contribute over 40% to recent BTC price variations.
- Growing institutional flows and regulatory acceptance are crucial for future price movement.
- Risks to the forecast lean towards positive, with accelerating ETF demand and sustained user activity.