Bitcoin And Crypto Market Anticipate Surge With 98.3% Rate Cut Probability

The upcoming FOMC meeting on October 29, 2025, has stirred expectations in the crypto market, particularly concerning Bitcoin. The previous meeting in September saw a rate cut to 4-4.25%, and there is speculation that rates could be further reduced to 3.75-4%.

  • The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a 98.3% probability of another rate cut, with only a 1.7% chance of rates remaining unchanged.
  • A rate reduction could stimulate economic activity by improving loan terms and increasing spending, potentially benefiting cryptocurrencies.

Fed FOMC

The US has shown a pro-crypto stance, highlighted by President Trump's recent pardon of Binance's former CEO, Changpeng Zhao. A rate cut could enhance liquidity and drive more investment into the crypto market.

  • The potential for growth is tied to lower inflation; increased inflation may lead to investor caution.

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com (crypto)

While optimism surrounds the possibility of a rate cut, the final decision will depend on the outcome of the FOMC meeting.