Crypto Market Divided by Bullish Liquidity Easing and Bearish AI Bubble
Crypto analyst Ignas outlines both bearish and bullish cases for the crypto market as of November 2, 2025.
The Bearish Case
- The "AI bubble" concern is highlighted by Nvidia's brief $5 trillion valuation, raising fears about overvalued equities linked to AI.
- "Uptober" ended weakly for crypto despite policy tailwinds and ETF inflows, with Bitcoin and Ethereum fading, and US spot ETF flows turning negative after October 10-11.
- The "10/10 crash" caused large liquidations and increased risk aversion, impacting the market negatively.
- The recent Bitcoin halving on April 20, 2024, raises concerns about possible market tops based on cycle patterns.
- Long-term holders have increased distribution of BTC, raising supply concerns with significant outflows reported.
- Significant outflows from US spot Bitcoin ETFs were observed at the end of October, totaling over $1.1 billion in daily net redemptions.
- Berkshire Hathaway's record cash pile and equity selling indicate broad risk asset caution.
The Bull Case
- Global central banks are easing liquidity conditions, with expected interest rate cuts in the US supporting the market.
- The Crypto Fear & Greed Index remains low, suggesting no current market euphoria.
- Institutional adoption continues to strengthen the market, with $30.2 billion inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs year-to-date.
- The US enacted a stablecoin law, enhancing on-chain liquidity and payment systems.
- Historically, Q4 has been strong for Bitcoin, with potential for significant gains.
- Stablecoin float remains high at approximately $307.6 billion, indicating available liquidity within the crypto ecosystem.
- Positive developments in the US–China trade war provide optimistic market signals.
Current total crypto market cap stands at $3.56 trillion.
