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Crypto Market Drops 5% Amid Futures Outflows and Bearish Options
The crypto market is experiencing a downturn, with the CoinDesk 20 Index declining by 5% in the last 24 hours, and all its members showing losses. Key developments include:
- Major tokens are seeing capital outflows from futures markets.
- Investors are favoring put options for BTC and ETH on Deribit as protection against declines.
- The U.S. core PCE inflation data release on Friday is anticipated to influence market volatility depending on the outcome.
Token Talk
- Plasma launched its mainnet beta and native token XPL, reaching a valuation of over $12 billion.
- The network, supported by Bitfinex, Bybit, Tether's CEO, and Peter Thiel, introduced $2 billion worth of XPL tokens into circulation.
- Plasma is designed for stablecoin operations serving DeFi applications, with liquidity already deployed on platforms like Aave and Ethereum.
- Some XPL tokens sold to U.S. investors are locked until mid-2026, affecting early trading availability.
Derivatives Positioning
- BTC and ETH are seeing continued capital outflows, leading to a drop in notional open interest (OI).
- Minor price recovery is questioned due to ongoing declines in BTC and ETH OI.
- Smaller coins such as KAS and KCS have observed moderate increases in OI.
- Crypto perpetuals on Aster DEX hit over $46 billion in volume, surpassing Hyperliquid's $17 billion.
- CME BTC futures OI reversed the early September spike, while options OI is increasing, nearing November 2024 highs.
- ETH futures and options positioning remain high on Deribit; SOL offers higher yields than ETH at 15% compared to 7%.
- BTC, ETH options risk reversals are bearish towards December expiry, whereas SOL and XRP show bullish bias for year-end.