Crypto Market Drops 5% Amid Futures Outflows and Bearish Options

The crypto market is experiencing a downturn, with the CoinDesk 20 Index declining by 5% in the last 24 hours, and all its members showing losses. Key developments include:

  • Major tokens are seeing capital outflows from futures markets.
  • Investors are favoring put options for BTC and ETH on Deribit as protection against declines.
  • The U.S. core PCE inflation data release on Friday is anticipated to influence market volatility depending on the outcome.

Token Talk

  • Plasma launched its mainnet beta and native token XPL, reaching a valuation of over $12 billion.
  • The network, supported by Bitfinex, Bybit, Tether's CEO, and Peter Thiel, introduced $2 billion worth of XPL tokens into circulation.
  • Plasma is designed for stablecoin operations serving DeFi applications, with liquidity already deployed on platforms like Aave and Ethereum.
  • Some XPL tokens sold to U.S. investors are locked until mid-2026, affecting early trading availability.

Derivatives Positioning

  • BTC and ETH are seeing continued capital outflows, leading to a drop in notional open interest (OI).
  • Minor price recovery is questioned due to ongoing declines in BTC and ETH OI.
  • Smaller coins such as KAS and KCS have observed moderate increases in OI.
  • Crypto perpetuals on Aster DEX hit over $46 billion in volume, surpassing Hyperliquid's $17 billion.
  • CME BTC futures OI reversed the early September spike, while options OI is increasing, nearing November 2024 highs.
  • ETH futures and options positioning remain high on Deribit; SOL offers higher yields than ETH at 15% compared to 7%.
  • BTC, ETH options risk reversals are bearish towards December expiry, whereas SOL and XRP show bullish bias for year-end.