CryptoQuant CEO Predicts Sideways Bitcoin Movement, No Major Crash

Summary:

  • The founder of CryptoQuant, Ki Young Ju, predicts Bitcoin will not experience a drastic 50%+ crash as in previous bear markets but expects sideways movement.
  • The Realized Cap, an on-chain indicator that measures total capital invested in Bitcoin, has recently shown signs of decline after significant growth from late 2023 to late 2025.
  • This decline suggests a potential bearish transition, although the current cycle differs due to diverse liquidity channels and long-term institutional holdings reducing the impact of whale-retail sell cycles.
  • The demand from retail investors, measured by the volume of transactions under $10,000, has also decreased despite recent price recoveries, indicating that retail participation remains low.

BTC Price:

  • Bitcoin is trading at approximately $89,900, up 2% over the last week.

Bitcoin Realized Cap

Bitcoin Retail Volume

Bitcoin Price Chart