Dogecoin Exchange Flows Turn Positive Amid Potential Rebound Signal

Recent data indicates a shift in Dogecoin's market structure, as highlighted by crypto analyst Ali Martinez. Dogecoin's net supply on exchanges has turned positive, suggesting potential market changes.

Key Observations

  • The Glassnode chart shows monthly exchange inflows and outflows of DOGE with green bars for net inflows and red bars for net outflows.
  • From mid to late 2024, there were strong net inflows, correlating with a price increase from below $0.10 to $0.48.
  • In early to mid-2025, mixed inflow patterns stabilized the price between $0.12 and $0.30.
  • By late 2025, net outflows increased but recently switched back to net inflows, which may signal a rebound as the price hovers above $0.15.

DOGE Price Dynamics

  • An ATH-partitioned UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) chart highlights that 27.4 billion DOGE accumulated at approximately $0.08, marking it as significant support.
  • A shaded "GAP" exists between $0.07–$0.16, with minor resistance levels around $0.096, $0.125, and $0.155.
  • Above the gap, a cluster at $0.162 contains 2.9% of the supply, with support quickly vanishing below $0.16.

Market Cohorts

  • A cost-basis distribution heatmap reveals two core holder groups: one near $0.08 with over 27 billion DOGE and another near $0.20 with over 12 billion DOGE.
  • The newly positive exchange flows create a focus for traders watching DOGE's potential movement between these price ranges.

Currently, DOGE is trading at $0.158.