Ether Falls Below $3,800 Amid Concerns of Further Downside

Ethereum Price Struggles

  • Ethereum's price fell below the $3,800 support, currently trading near $3,719 after a 7% decline.
  • Analysts predict further downside with potential support at $3,600; recovery requires reclaiming $4,000.
  • Wintermute moved large amounts of BTC, ETH, and SOL to exchanges, historically causing market downturns.

Institutional Moves and Technical Analysis

  • Spot ETH ETFs saw outflows of $80 million this week, indicating cooling institutional sentiment.
  • ETH is in a "neutral zone" between $3,800 and $4,100, testing a major support trendline since late 2022.
  • Bulls need to break above $4,900–$5,000 or risk dropping to $3,400.

Market Indicators

  • The weekly chart shows a rising wedge pattern, suggesting bearish potential with low volume.
  • Bollinger Bands indicate tightening volatility, signaling an impending directional move.
  • RSI shows weakening momentum but not oversold conditions; consolidation or dip to $3,600 possible before rebounding.
  • MACD on the weekly chart has turned red, potentially leading to further declines.

Broader Market Impact

  • The crypto market is under pressure, termed as an “early Black Friday” selloff.
  • Altcoins like BNB, Solana, and XRP suffered double-digit losses, showing low risk appetite.