ETH’s Probability of Reaching $5,000 Increases to 26%

Market Summary

ETH Outlook: The probability of Ethereum reaching $5,000 this month increased to 26% from 16%. Institutional accumulation and BTC-ETH flow shifts are driving this momentum. Major liquidity support has been established by institutions.

Key Insights:

  • The ETH/BTC ratio is at a local low, indicating a potential rebound.
  • Global stablecoin adoption and clearer regulations are strengthening fundamentals.
  • XRP is also performing well alongside Ethereum.
  • Capital is moving towards new narratives like CRO following Trump's "Cronos Treasury" initiative.
  • Hyperliquid surpassed Robinhood in trading volume, indicating retail speculation shifts.
  • ETH has outperformed BTC with a 20% gain over the last 30 days compared to BTC's 6% decline.

Current Prices:

  • BTC: Trading at $111,733.63; weak on-chain activity noted.
  • ETH: Trading at $4,598.67; below its all-time high of $4,946.
  • Gold: Trading at $3,410.80 amid safe-haven demand.
  • Nikkei 225: Down 0.17% despite Wall Street gains.
  • S&P 500: Up 0.41% to 6,465.94 as investors await Nvidia’s earnings.

Other Crypto News

  • Trump-backed World Liberty Token could negatively impact retail investors.
  • The U.S. CFTC is set to shrink to one member.
  • Bitcoin miner Hut 8 surged 10% due to expansion plans for 1.5GW.