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Glassnode Analyzes Bitcoin’s Short-Term Options Dynamics Amidst Rally
Bitcoin's recent rise to $97,600 sparked notable options activity. However, Glassnode highlighted that this was more about short-dated positioning rather than a strong market conviction.
- Despite an 8% BTC price increase mid-January, the 1-week 25-delta skew shifted from put bias to neutral, suggesting a temporary bullish sentiment.
- The options volume put/call ratio decreased from 1 to 0.4, indicating increased call activity, but primarily in short-term positions.
- Longer-term metrics showed less enthusiasm, with the 1-month 25-delta skew moving slightly and remaining put-biased.
- The 3-month 25-delta skew had minimal change, maintaining a downside risk position.
- Implied volatility data reflected gamma sellers taking profits during the rally, not typical of sustained market breakouts.
For a genuine breakout, Glassnode suggests watching for:
- Spot prices pressing key levels
- Skew showing conviction across maturities
- Volatility being bought rather than sold
Currently, BTC is trading at $89,297. Traders should monitor longer-dated skew and implied volatility as indicators of potential market shifts.
