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Hedge Funds Hold Record Short Positions in Ether Futures on CME
Hedge funds have reached record short positions in ether (ETH) futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), raising questions about their motivations.
- As of February 4, hedge funds held a net short position of 11,341 contracts, marking a 40% increase within a week and a 500% rise since November.
- This surge is largely attributed to carry trades and arbitrage plays, although some positions indicate bearish sentiment on ETH.
- U.S. ETH ETF inflows remained steady over the past three months, coinciding with increased futures short interest.
- Hedge funds are engaging in basis trades by shorting CME futures while buying spot ether ETFs, such as BlackRock's iShares Ethereum Trust ETF.
- The recent short interest has increased by approximately $470 million, aligned with about $480 million in spot ETF inflows.
- Some short positions may serve as hedges against long bets in altcoins due to ETH's underperformance compared to chains like SOL.
- Short-term ETH options show a preference for put options, reflecting concerns about potential price drops.
- Long-end ETH options exhibit higher call prices, indicating bullish expectations for the long term.