Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Selloff Expected at MVRV Ratios of 1.25 and 1.35

Analyst Axel Adler Jr has highlighted potential selling pressure for Bitcoin from short-term holders (STHs) based on the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio.

Key Points

  • The MVRV Ratio indicates profitability among investors. A ratio above 1 signals net unrealized profits, while below 1 indicates losses.
  • STHs are defined as Bitcoin investors who acquired their holdings within the last 155 days and often react to market changes.
  • The current STH MVRV Ratio is 1.09, indicating modest gains, suggesting a mass sell-off may not occur yet.
  • Significant selling pressure could arise if the MVRV Ratio reaches 1.25 (around $118,000) or 1.35 (around $128,000).
  • Bitcoin is currently trading at approximately $103,200, reflecting a 2% increase over the past week.

The upcoming price movements will determine whether Bitcoin can reach these key levels and if STHs will sell off, potentially acting as resistance.

Bitcoin STH MVRV Ratio
Bitcoin Price Chart