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Investors Should Prepare for 5% Bond Yields and Focus on Real Assets
Financial expert Michael Howell warns of a new era of persistent monetary inflation, indicating traditional investment strategies may fail. The key is understanding the bond market and its signals.
Key points include:
- 2025 has seen market volatility; S&P fluctuated between 6,100 and 4,800.
- Germany's DAX and the UK's FTSE are near record highs.
- Global bond yields are rising, indicating concerns over inflation and debt.
- The U.S. faces $37 trillion in debt, with over $10 trillion needing refinancing this year.
- Short-term borrowing may provide temporary relief but risks long-term inflation.
- Historical trends show that near-zero interest rates are unsustainable.
- Long-term yields could normalize around 5% or higher.
- Global shifts to short-term borrowing exacerbate the inflation issue.
- Investors should consider real, scarce assets like Bitcoin, gold, top-tier real estate, and high-quality stocks.
- The Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut rates soon amid ongoing inflation pressures.
- Portfolios need to adapt to higher rates, tighter liquidity, and increasing debt.