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JPMorgan Sets $170,000 Bitcoin Target Amid Volatility-Adjusted Gold Comparison
- JPMorgan targets a Bitcoin price of $170,000 in 6-12 months.
- Bitcoin's market cap needs to rise 67% from $2.1 trillion to match private-sector gold investments on a volatility-adjusted basis.
- The Bitcoin-to-gold volatility ratio is approximately 1.8, suggesting Bitcoin carries more risk but also potential upside compared to gold.
- Bitcoin trades around $68,000 below its volatility-adjusted fair value relative to gold.
- A recent deleveraging phase in perpetual futures may be over following significant October liquidations.
- Recent liquidations were influenced by a $120 million DeFi exploit, affecting investor confidence.
- CME futures show more liquidations in Ethereum than in Bitcoin.
- This projection updates previous JPMorgan forecasts of $165,000 in October and $126,000 in August.