9 October 2025
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JPMorgan Predicts Limited Inflows for Solana ETFs Amid SEC Approval
- JPMorgan foresees limited investor interest in spot Solana (SOL) ETFs, even if approved soon.
- Analysts estimate potential first-year inflows at $1.5 billion, significantly less than Ethereum's (ETH) ETF projections.
- Potential lower inflows due to factors like decreased on-chain activity, prevalent memecoin trading, launch fatigue, and competition from diversified crypto indices.
- Corporate treasuries might also reduce the demand for SOL spot ETFs.
- Weak demand signals observed in CME Solana futures positioning.
- The U.S. SEC will decide on around sixteen spot crypto ETF applications, including Solana, this October.
- Approval is anticipated, supported by existing CME futures contracts and the recent launch of a Solana ETF by REX Osprey.
- The premium to NAV on the Grayscale Solana Trust has dropped from 750% last year to nearly zero, similar to trends seen with Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum before their ETF launches.