MARA Holdings Downgraded to Sell by Compass Point Citing Cash Burn

Compass Point downgraded MARA Holdings from neutral to sell, citing unsustainable cash burn. Key points include:

  • The hash price is below 5.5 cents, indicating declining profitability.
  • Significant cash burn may lead to shareholder dilution.
  • Price target reduced from $25 to $9.50, suggesting over 25% downside from the current price of around $13.
  • Marathon's business model faces pressure from shrinking mining rewards and high energy costs.
  • The company trades at a premium compared to Bitcoin prices.
  • Peer companies like Core Scientific and TeraWulf also underperformed amidst cooling AI investor enthusiasm.
  • HPC sector multiples decreased from 15x to 5x over the past year.
  • Potential long-term tailwinds include rising demand for AI infrastructure.
  • MARA is set to report earnings on May 8; stock has dropped 25% this year, while the bitcoin mining ETF WGMI fell 37%.