March Jobs Report Expected to Impact Bitcoin Prices Significantly

As the U.S. nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report for March approaches, bitcoin (BTC) investors face a pivotal moment influenced by economic developments.

  • President Trump's announcement of tariffs on 180 nations has led markets to factor in recession risks and potential Federal Reserve rate cuts.
  • Regardless of whether the NFP report shows labor market strength or weakness, BTC bulls are likely to benefit.
  • Stronger-than-expected jobs data may lead to temporary dips in BTC, but recent tariff developments could mitigate negative impacts.
  • Weak jobs data would heighten recession fears and support bets on Fed rate cuts, encouraging risk-taking.
  • Current BTC price is $84,190, with a notable low of below $82,000 earlier; it remains above March's low of $77,000, indicating seller fatigue.
  • Volmex's bitcoin one-day implied volatility index suggests an expected price swing of 3.4% in the next 24 hours.
  • The median estimate for March nonfarm payroll employment is 130,000, down from February's 151,000, with jobless rate forecast at 4.2%.
  • Traders expect 100 basis points of Fed rate cuts this year, with the first anticipated in June.