MSTR Stock Hits 52-Week Low Amid January 15 MSCI Index Deadline

The MSTR stock has reached a 52-week low, closing at $151.95, down over 65% from its peak in July 2025. This decline is linked to the drop in Bitcoin's price and concerns over potential exclusion from the MSCI Index due to new rules classifying companies with significant crypto assets as investment funds. JPMorgan predicts potential outflows of up to $8.8 billion if this rule takes effect.

Financial Challenges and Future Outlook

MSTR's market cap has decreased by more than $90 billion over six months.
Ongoing shareholder dilution due to new share issuance for further Bitcoin purchases.
The company's market net asset value (mNAV) has fallen below 1, indicating it trades at a discount to asset value.

Despite these challenges, some analysts remain optimistic. Even if Bitcoin falls to $74,000, Strategy's holdings would still cover liabilities, eliminating insolvency risk. There is renewed institutional interest in MSTR stock, and the company faces no liquidation triggers related to Bitcoin's price.