On-Chain Data Indicates Weakening Momentum for Bitcoin Prices

Bitcoin's price is under pressure, trading at $113,146 after falling 8.7% from its recent high of over $124,000. Despite a slight daily increase of 1.8%, volatility remains as investors assess market sentiment and on-chain metrics.

Key Insights

  • Whale activity on Binance indicates weakening momentum, contributing to Bitcoin's inability to sustain highs.
  • During July, Bitcoin traded between $118,000 and $122,000 in low volatility conditions.
  • In mid-August, an increase in inactive deltas suggested that long-held coins were being sold again.
  • Current Delta indicator shows near-zero levels, indicating a lack of buying pressure.
  • A shift in behavior among large traders has been noted, with increased selling without new buyers emerging.

Market Sentiment

  • The Coinbase Premium Index indicates accumulation despite declining prices, suggesting institutional buying during dips.
  • The positive funding rate implies traders are still bullish, raising concerns about potential liquidity resets.
  • Open interest in derivatives remains above market price, acting as resistance unless broken.
  • Short-term dynamics show cautious sentiment alongside supportive long-term adoption metrics.
  • Future movements depend on demand reasserting itself against recent profit-taking by whales.

Bitcoin future price momentum index.
Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView