Jerome Powell’s Response Sparks Bitcoin Volatility Amid Retail Investor Losses

Bitcoin experienced increased volatility after Jerome Powell's unusual public statement regarding a criminal investigation into his actions as Federal Reserve Chair. This political development caused Bitcoin to drop from $92,500 to nearly $90,500, disrupting its consolidation phase above the $90,000 level.

  • Powell's response marks a shift from his previous stance of not engaging with criticism from President Trump.
  • The market is assessing the implications of macro policy and political pressure on Bitcoin's price direction.

Retail Fear Persists Amid Short-Term Volatility

CryptoQuant analysis reveals retail investors' fear of short-term volatility, despite Bitcoin maintaining its upward trend. The Short-Term Holder SOPR (STH SOPR) indicator shows short-term investors realizing losses even as prices rise.

  • Retail sentiment has worsened, with STH SOPR dropping to around 0.98, indicating selling at a loss.
  • This divergence often reflects buying opportunities rather than weakness in Bitcoin's structure.

Bitcoin SOPR Short-Term Holder | Source: CryptoQuant

Bitcoin Consolidates Below Key Resistance

Bitcoin is currently consolidating below key resistance levels following a correction from October highs near $120,000. It rebounded toward the $90,000–$94,000 range, which has become a short-term equilibrium zone.

  • The 50-week moving average acts as dynamic resistance around the mid-$90,000 area.
  • The broader macro trend remains intact, supported by the upward-sloping 100-week moving average.
  • Volume compression during this phase suggests potential for future volatility expansion.

BTC consolidates in a tight weekly range | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

If Bitcoin fails to reclaim the $94,000 resistance, further consolidation may occur before a sustainable trend resumes.