Quantum Computing Poses 50/50 Risk to Bitcoin Cryptography by 2025

Quantum computing advancements may threaten Bitcoin (BTC) cryptography. Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko warned of potential security risks, suggesting a possible need for Bitcoin to migrate to quantum-resistant technologies.

Key Points

Anatoly Yakovenko highlighted the risk of quantum computing at the All-In Summit 2025, estimating a 50% chance of significant developments in the next five years.
Shor’s algorithm, if operational on quantum computers, could compromise Bitcoin's current signature schemes.
Companies like Google have already released quantum chips, indicating rapid technological advancements.
Similar concerns were raised by Craig Gidney, a Quantum AI researcher, noting that breaking RSA encryption now requires fewer quantum resources.
Although Bitcoin uses Elliptic Curve Cryptography (ECC), it remains vulnerable to Shor’s algorithm.

This highlights the urgency for Bitcoin developers to create quantum-resistant solutions to secure its cryptographic integrity.