Sanctions Risk Drives Central Banks to Bitcoin and Gold Reserves

  • Central banks are adjusting international reserve strategies due to rising financial sanctions threats.
  • From 2016 to 2021, countries at higher risk of US sanctions increased gold holdings more rapidly.
  • Gold remains appealing as it is beyond the direct control of foreign governments.
  • A study using a Bayesian model indicates that higher sanctions risk leads central banks to allocate more to gold, renminbi bonds, and Bitcoin.
  • Treasuries become less attractive under sanctions, while Bitcoin and gold gain strategic importance despite their volatility.
  • Sanctions risk may prompt long-term diversification of central bank reserves, boosting demand for cryptocurrency and gold.
  • This trend could diminish the dominance of traditional fiat assets and enhance Bitcoin's role in the global financial system.