20 September 2025
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Saylor Predicts Bitcoin Will Outperform S&P 500 for 21 Years
Strategy's substantial investment in Bitcoin remains central to discussions about its role in finance, with holdings exceeding 638,500 BTC, currently valued at "tens of billions" according to Michael Saylor.
Saylor Predicts Long-Term Outperformance
- Saylor claims Bitcoin will outperform the S&P 500 indefinitely, suggesting a 29% annual loss for the index against Bitcoin over the next 21 years.
- Cites historical returns as evidence of Bitcoin's superiority.
Bitcoin As Digital Capital
- Saylor frames Bitcoin as "digital capital," suitable for backing loans and credit products due to its fixed supply and decentralized nature.
- He is advocating for policy measures, including a Bitcoin reserve bill, to enhance acceptance in financial and policy circles.
Saylor contrasts Bitcoin with fiat currencies like the US dollar, citing depreciation issues tied to inflation and central bank policies. However, critics highlight Bitcoin's volatility and regulatory uncertainties as challenges to its use as stable collateral.
Strategy’s Corporate Path
- Strategy's absence from the S&P 500 is due to needed changes in accounting practices and sustained profitability.
- The company's strategy, heavily reliant on Bitcoin since 2020, influences investor perceptions of its financial health.