Weak Dollar Drives Gold, Leaves Bitcoin Behind

  • The US Dollar Index dropped to 97.17, a 0.4% decrease, but this did not benefit Bitcoin, which fell over 6% in the past week to around $87,000.
  • CryptoQuant analysts attribute Bitcoin's lack of response to the dollar drop to market fear rather than growth or easy money. Capital is moving to gold, not risk assets like Bitcoin.
  • Historically, Bitcoin rose with a stable dollar, hitting $100,000-$120,000 when DXY was around 100. Currently, as DXY falls, Bitcoin retreats due to risk aversion.
  • The Coinbase Premium Index remains negative, indicating low spot demand in the US and consistent sell pressure on US exchanges compared to offshore platforms.
  • Bitcoin trades below its 21-week moving average of $96,000, often signaling potential further declines. The range for Bitcoin is projected between $121,000 (bullish) and $70,000 (bearish).