Weiss Crypto Analyst Identifies Market Indicator Leading Bitcoin Price Movements

Juan Villaverde, a Weiss Crypto analyst, has presented an analysis suggesting that a lesser-known asset class may provide early signals for Bitcoin price movements. Key points include:

Villaverde claims this asset class can indicate major Bitcoin price changes approximately six months in advance.
Historical data shows that significant lows in this asset often precede Bitcoin's lows.
A notable divergence occurred in November 2021 when Bitcoin reached its all-time high, but the tracked asset did not follow, signaling the start of a bear market in 2022.
The analysis includes a cautionary note about geopolitical events, like the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which temporarily disrupted the correlation between the two assets.
Current insights suggest a potential peak for Bitcoin around late November 2025, depending on the performance of the tracked asset.
If this asset surpasses its April high, Bitcoin could continue to rise into 2026; otherwise, a significant decline could signal the end of the current bull market.

As of now, Bitcoin is trading at $114,522.