New Whales Drive Bitcoin Below $90,000 Amid Market Volatility

Bitcoin has dropped below $90,000 due to rising macroeconomic tensions between the US and EU, alongside geopolitical issues in Greenland. This decline highlights Bitcoin's sensitivity to global uncertainty.

  • On-chain data reveals a market shift with "new whales" now holding a larger share of Bitcoin's Realized Cap than long-term holders. This indicates that a significant portion of BTC supply recently changed hands at higher prices.
  • The dominance of new large holders influences short-term supply dynamics, making the market more reactive and sensitive to volatility.

New Whales Influencing Bitcoin's Trajectory

  • Realized Cap shifts toward new whales, indicating market control is moving from experienced holders to newer investors.
  • The realized price for new whales is near $98,000, with current spot prices below this level, resulting in approximately $6 billion in unrealized losses.
  • New whales have driven most realized losses since the market peak, often selling during downturns.
  • Long-term whales remain profitable with a realized price around $40,000, showing limited activity compared to new whales.

Short/Long-Term Whale Realized Price | Source: CryptoQuant

Bitcoin Breaks Below Key Support Levels

  • Bitcoin trades near $88,300 after losing the $90,000 psychological level, reflecting a downtrend from late-2025 highs.
  • BTC remains below major moving averages, which serve as dynamic resistance. Recent rebounds faced strong rejections, indicating heavy overhead supply.
  • Volume spikes during selloffs suggest forced activity, while recovery attempts show weaker participation.
  • As long as Bitcoin stays below the $90K–$92K zone, downside risk remains if fear intensifies in the crypto market.

BTC testing support level | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView