XRP’s Recovery Delayed Until 2026 Amid Market Challenges and ETF Uncertainty

The altcoin market is witnessing a resurgence, but XRP has been consolidating between $2.70 and $3 for the past two weeks.

Market Analysis

  • The potential launch of cryptocurrency ETFs could impact XRP's market momentum, but concerns remain about prolonged market corrections.
  • XRP's performance is linked to Bitcoin's ability to lead a price rally.
  • Spot crypto ETF applications are under review by the SEC, with high approval chances.
  • Institutional inflows into XRP reached $1.25 billion in the first eight months of 2025, with JPMorgan Chase estimating future ETFs could attract $4-8 billion.
  • XRP's current market cap is $180 billion, and even significant inflows may not influence long-term price action.

Future Outlook

  • Optimistic analysts predict XRP could reach new highs of $4, $5, or $10, but short-term declines pose risks.
  • Polymarket estimates a 32% chance of XRP dropping to $2.50 this year and suggests recovery may not occur until 2026.
  • XRP's upward movement depends on Bitcoin's performance; failure to reclaim previous peaks could hinder XRP's rally.

Currently, XRP has risen to $3.0675, marking a 1.5% increase in 24 hours, which is modest compared to Ethereum's 5% gains during the same period.