Bitcoin Falls Below $122K Amid Overheated Crypto Market

The crypto market experienced a downturn as Bitcoin (BTC) retreated from record highs above $126,000, dropping below $122,000 and losing 2.4% in 24 hours. Other cryptocurrencies like XRP, Dogecoin (DOGE), Cardano (ADA), and Avalanche (AVAX) fell by 5%-7%.

  • Recent BTC price movements mirror past trends of swift sell-offs after reaching new highs.
  • Analysts suggest potential for BTC to revisit the $118,000-$120,000 range, offering a buying opportunity if macro conditions favor further gains above $130,000.
  • Derivatives markets and ETF inflows surged, with 63,083 BTC accumulated, marking the highest accumulation this year.
  • This influx indicates an overheated market, potentially leading to short-term consolidation.

Change in notional BTC exposure, combining perpetuals, futures open interest and ETF holdings (K33)

Fed's Neutral Rate Comments

  • Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran suggests the neutral interest rate should be 0.5%, influenced by tighter immigration restrictions and federal deficit expectations.
  • His comments reflect changes in long-term U.S. economic forces, impacting growth and fiscal pressures.
  • Upcoming Fed meeting will discuss potential rate cuts amidst ongoing government shutdown.

Crypto Stocks Affected:

  • Strategy (MSTR) fell 7%, Coinbase (COIN) dropped 4%.
  • Bitmine Immersion (BMNR) and Sharplink Gaming (SBET) both declined 3% and 7%, respectively.
  • Bitcoin miners saw losses: MARA Holdings fell 4%, Riot Platforms (RIOT) dropped 3%, and Hut 8 (HUT) decreased by 2%.