Citizens Rates Circle Market Perform, Citing Stablecoin Growth and Valuation

  • U.S. bank Citizens initiated coverage on Circle Internet (CRCL) with a "market perform" rating, indicating that much of the valuation upside is already accounted for.
  • Circle issues stablecoins like USDC and EURC and has developed a comprehensive infrastructure, including a payments network and cross-chain protocol.
  • The company is developing Arc, a layer-1 blockchain aimed at enhancing programmable money in various financial applications.
  • Stablecoins are pegged to real-world assets and are crucial for transferring money and cross-border payments.
  • Analysts predict the stablecoin market cap could rise from $300 billion to $3 trillion by 2030, driven by regulatory clarity from initiatives like the U.S. GENIUS Act and Europe’s MiCA.
  • USDC's circulation has doubled year-over-year to approximately $74 billion, backed by cash and treasuries.
  • Circle boasts over $1 billion in cash post-IPO, allowing for investments and acquisitions, but its current stock valuation limits further upside without increased adoption or monetization.
  • Key areas of focus include USDC growth, margins, fee revenue, and yield sensitivity, alongside developments like new payment corridors, enterprise partnerships, and Arc’s testnet.
  • Circle's shares rose to about $134.40 in early trading.