30 September 2025
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Citizens Rates Circle Market Perform, Citing Stablecoin Growth and Valuation
- U.S. bank Citizens initiated coverage on Circle Internet (CRCL) with a "market perform" rating, indicating that much of the valuation upside is already accounted for.
- Circle issues stablecoins like USDC and EURC and has developed a comprehensive infrastructure, including a payments network and cross-chain protocol.
- The company is developing Arc, a layer-1 blockchain aimed at enhancing programmable money in various financial applications.
- Stablecoins are pegged to real-world assets and are crucial for transferring money and cross-border payments.
- Analysts predict the stablecoin market cap could rise from $300 billion to $3 trillion by 2030, driven by regulatory clarity from initiatives like the U.S. GENIUS Act and Europe’s MiCA.
- USDC's circulation has doubled year-over-year to approximately $74 billion, backed by cash and treasuries.
- Circle boasts over $1 billion in cash post-IPO, allowing for investments and acquisitions, but its current stock valuation limits further upside without increased adoption or monetization.
- Key areas of focus include USDC growth, margins, fee revenue, and yield sensitivity, alongside developments like new payment corridors, enterprise partnerships, and Arc’s testnet.
- Circle's shares rose to about $134.40 in early trading.