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Earnings Season Overshadowed by Interest Rate and Tariff Concerns

The recent market volatility, termed the “tariff trade,” has affected investor sentiment amid ongoing tariff discussions. Key points include: 25%...

US Treasury Department Issues Quarterly Refunding Statement Amid Yield Uncertainty

The US Treasury Department released its quarterly refunding statement, confirming steady auction sizes for upcoming quarters. This led to a decline...

Bessent Maintains Current Treasury Issuance Strategy in First Refunding Announcement

Scott Bessent has been confirmed as US Treasury Secretary, leading to the first quarterly refunding announcement under his tenure. Key points...

US Equities Rally as December CPI Report Shows Mixed Results

The December Consumer Price Index (CPI) report indicates mixed price trends. Key points include: Overall prices rose 0.4% month-over-month and...

US 10-Year Treasury Yields Rise to Highest Level Since 2007

Treasury yields increased, with the US government's 10-year Treasury note auction yielding 4.68%, the highest since 2007. Benchmark yields reached...

Fed Cuts Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points Amid Santa Rally Speculation

This is a segment from the Forward Guidance newsletter. FOMC Rate Cut Announcement The FOMC lowered interest rates by 25 basis points....

Fed Considers Lowering Reverse Repo Facility Rate to Boost Bank Reserves

In the FOMC November meeting minutes, a significant detail emerged unrelated to rate cut expectations. The Fed is contemplating reducing the award...

Financial Conditions Tightened Despite Fed's 50 Basis Points Rate Cut

This is a segment from the Forward Guidance newsletter. Since the Fed's 50 basis points rate cut in September, financial conditions have...
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