Bitcoin Faces Pressure Ahead of FOMC Meeting Amid Historical Declines

The Bitcoin price is facing pressure ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, known for causing fluctuations in the cryptocurrency's value.

Interest Rate Expectations

• The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates between 3.5% and 3.75%.
• This pause follows three rate cuts last year, initially boosting risk assets like Bitcoin.

Currently, Bitcoin trades around $87,780, about 30% below its peak last year.

Historical FOMC Impact on Bitcoin

• Analyst Ali Martinez notes low expectations for a rate cut, at just 2.8%, suggesting unlikely policy easing.
• Historically, Bitcoin has reacted negatively after most FOMC meetings, with notable declines following seven out of eight decisions in 2025.
• Exceptions occurred in May when Bitcoin briefly rallied by 15% post-meeting.

Technical Analysis and Key Levels

• According to analyst BitBull, Bitcoin is nearing a key decision zone at the Active Investor Mean, approximately $87,500.
• Short-term holder cost basis is around $96,500, indicating potential selling pressure if prices rise.

• The True Market Mean at $80,700 marks the boundary between routine corrections and deeper weaknesses.
• Realized price near $56,000 shows long-term holders remain profitable and resilient to volatility.

If Bitcoin maintains support above $87,500, it indicates market strength; a fall below could lead to a move toward $80,700.