Bitcoin’s MACD Indicator Turns Bearish Amid Trump’s Tariff Threat

The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator for bitcoin (BTC) has turned negative, signaling a bearish shift in momentum. This change coincides with President Trump's tariff rhetoric, which could impact market stability.

Key points:

  • The MACD histogram indicates trend strength by comparing average prices over different periods.
  • The current MACD reading is below zero, suggesting potential downward movement for BTC.
  • Despite this, BTC remains within the $90K to $100K range, with tighter recent movements between $95K and $100K.
  • Price action needs to confirm MACD signals; the previous bullish signal was supported by price breakout.

Macro Factors Impacting BTC

Several macroeconomic factors could contribute to volatility:

  • Trump plans to announce 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, potentially leading to higher bond yields.
  • Consumer sentiment is affected, with inflation expectations rising from 3.3% to 4.3%, the highest since November 2023.
  • The Federal Reserve may hold off on rate cuts despite inflation concerns.
  • Upcoming U.S. CPI data will be released on February 12.