The Kobeissi Letter

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Bullish

S&P 500 futures hit record, push index market cap above $71T

S&P 500 futures rose to an all-time high, pushing the S&P 500’s aggregate market capitalization above $71 trillion, according to The...
Bearish

Shipping costs for West Africa-China crude jump to $27.22 per barrel

Physical crude oil shipping costs have surged: transporting 2 million barrels from West Africa to China now costs $27.22 per barrel, up from about...
Neutral

Elon Musk renames SpaceXAI to SpaceXSI

Elon Musk reportedly said SpaceXAI will be renamed to SpaceXSI after President Trump changed the term Artificial Intelligence to Super Intelligence....
Neutral

1.4 million households control record 32.5% of US household wealth

US household wealth concentration has reached a new high: out of 134.8 million households, about 1.4 million households, or the top 1%, control...
Neutral

Europe agrees to release diesel reserves, Trump says

President Trump stated that Europe agreed to release a large quantity of diesel oil. No details on volume, timing, participating countries, or...
Bullish

Nvidia hits record high, reaches $5.7 trillion market cap

Nvidia reaches a record-high market capitalization of $5.7 trillion. A $10,000 investment made 10 years ago would be worth $1,580,000 today. This...
Bearish

Nike shares drop 6% to 2013 low after weak earnings

Nike shares fell 6% to the lowest level since September 2013 after reporting weaker-than-expected earnings. The stock is down 82% from its record...
Neutral

US changes PCE method, lowers July core and headline by 30 bps

The latest PCE inflation print will be discounted by markets due to a US methodological change that alters how three categories are measured and...
Bullish

Fed's preferred inflation gauge falls to 3.4%, below 3.7% forecast

US August PCE inflation, the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge, undershot forecasts, and prior month figures were revised lower. Rate hike...
Bearish

US 30-year Treasury yield surpasses 5.60% first time since June 2002

The US 30-year Treasury yield moved above 5.60% for the first time since June 2002. It has risen 36 basis points month-to-date. The source expects...
Neutral

Iran agrees to halt uranium enrichment for US sanctions relief

Reports indicate that Iran agreed to halt uranium enrichment in exchange for US sanctions relief, according to Al Hadath. Separate reports minutes...
Bearish

US 10-year yield hits 19-year high; gold, silver fall 4–5%

Spot gold and silver extended intraday losses to roughly 4% and 5% as the US 10-year Treasury yield reached a 19-year high. The combined market...
Bullish

Nvidia launches $235 billion stock buyback, largest in US history

Nvidia announced that its board approved a $150 billion increase to its share-repurchase program, raising total buyback authorization to $235...
Bearish

Trump rejects Iran's 7-day ceasefire, plans strikes after November midterms

A report attributed to the Wall Street Journal and relayed by The Kobeissi Letter states that President Trump rejected an Iranian proposal for a...
Bearish

Middle East and Russia cut diesel supply by 1.1 million bpd

Global diesel supply has contracted sharply, with the largest losses coming from the Middle East and Russia between March and August 2026 compared...
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