The Kobeissi Letter

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Bearish

Brazil 10-year bond yield jumps 300 basis points to 16 percent

Brazil’s 10-year government bond yield reportedly surged to about 16%, a one-day increase of 300 basis points. The move equals the scale of US...
Brazil 10-year bond yield jumps 300 basis points to 16 percent
Neutral

Microsoft offers buyouts to 60,000 employees, 27% of workforce, to cut costs

Microsoft is offering voluntary buyouts to 60,000 employees to reduce costs during its AI-driven reorganization, according to Bloomberg, as relayed...
Neutral

Brazil stocks plunge 30% and real falls 10% after Lula win

Brazilian equities reportedly fell nearly 30 percent and the Brazilian Real weakened about 10 percent following President Lula da Silva’s...
Neutral

Anthropic files S-1 to list on Nasdaq under ANT

Anthropic filed an S-1 to list on Nasdaq under the ticker ANT. Markets expect the company to raise up to $100 billion at an equity valuation of...
Bearish

Meta will raise up to $95 billion via stock offerings for AI

Meta plans to raise up to $95 billion via stock offerings to fund AI development. This follows guidance to spend up to $145 billion in capital...
Bearish

Brazil stock market falls 20% after Lula da Silva reelection

Brazil’s stock market reportedly fell 20 percent following the unexpected re-election of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, according to The...
Brazil stock market falls 20% after Lula da Silva reelection
Bullish

Trump announces US will not strike Iran today

President Trump announced that the United States will not conduct a strike on Iran today. The statement comes 48 hours after he said the United...
Neutral

92% of GDX stocks fall below 50-day average, highest since late July

Gold miner breadth indicators show widespread weakness: 92% of GDX constituents trade below their 50-day moving average, the highest share since...
92% of GDX stocks fall below 50-day average, highest since late July
Bearish

Memory ETF DRAM posts $2 billion October outflows, largest since launch

The Memory ETF DRAM is experiencing sustained outflows and price pressure alongside a broader pullback in memory chip plays. Flows and withdrawals...
Memory ETF DRAM posts $2 billion October outflows, largest since launch
Bearish

Liquidations hit $200 million in an hour as Bitcoin slips below $80,000

Bitcoin and Ethereum dropped sharply as an estimated $200 million in leveraged positions were liquidated in under 60 minutes. Bitcoin fell back...
Bearish

Markets see 34% chance US crude above $110 by month-end

A reported 34% probability now implies US crude oil prices could exceed $110 per barrel by month-end, while Brent crude sits less than 2% below a...
Bearish

Brent crude price climbs above $117 a barrel on US-Iran strike fears

Brent crude oil moved above $117 per barrel for the first time since March 19. The price is $2 below this year’s high. The driver: market fears that...
Bearish

Tech sector shed 135,000 jobs in 2026 across 330 firms

US corporations announced broad layoffs in 2026 across multiple sectors. The tech sector reported 135,000 layoffs across 330 companies. Stated...
Bearish

Spot gold falls below $4,000, 15% down from August 25 high

Spot gold fell below $4,000 per ounce for the first time since July 29 as US–Iran tensions escalated. The price is down 15% from the August 25 high....
Bearish

Brent crude hits $115 per barrel, highest since May 4

Brent crude oil rose above $115 per barrel for the first time since May 4. The price is now less than 4% below the March 9 peak associated with the...
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