Federal Reserve Cuts Rates by 25 Basis Points, Impacting Crypto Market

The Federal Reserve has cut rates by 25 basis points on September 17, 2025, setting the fed funds target range at 4.00%–4.25%. This move is seen as a response to weakening labor dynamics and may pave the way for additional easing this year.

Bitcoin Price Outlook

• Trader Mayne suggests focusing on technical analysis now that the rate cut is behind us.
• He expects Bitcoin to push above its mid-range towards $120,000–$121,000 before a possible rejection.
• If momentum stalls, he plans to short and then buy the dip for a potential last parabolic leg of the cycle.
• If Bitcoin breaks out aggressively, he will consider long positions above the all-time high.

Projected Market Cycle Top

• Mayne predicts the cycle top in Q4 2025 or Q1 2026 with Bitcoin potentially reaching $150,000 to $180,000.
• Ethereum might reach $5,000–$7,000, Solana $300–$500, and Dogecoin $0.50–$0.70.
• Altseason expected to follow Bitcoin's peak as altcoins reprice higher.

Technical analysis remains critical, with focus on weekly trends and reaction zones. Any significant dip below 2024 highs could prompt a reassessment.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $117,176.