27 May 2025
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Japan’s Life Insurers Sell Off Government Bonds Amid Rising Interest Rates
Japan's life insurance companies are selling long-term government bonds due to rising interest rates, which have made these holdings too risky. This shift is driven by a "duration gap," where the timing of asset maturity does not align with liabilities, leading to significant losses.
This situation has global implications:
- Yields on Japanese government bonds (JGBs) may rise
- The Bank of Japan could intervene to maintain control
- The yen may weaken against the U.S. dollar
- Global risky assets might decline as investors seek safer options
The reliability of government bonds is being questioned as Japanese insurers, previously unaffected by short-term market fluctuations, now react to financial instability. This change is prompting:
- Bigger price swings in U.S. government bonds
- Increased investment in gold and Bitcoin
- Reduced flows into riskier emerging markets
As trust in traditional safe assets diminishes, alternative investments like Bitcoin gain appeal.