XRP nears $1.50; ceasefire, CLARITY Act, FOMC shape market outlook

XRP jumps with the market. The coin briefly touched $1.51 on Friday as geopolitical risk eased.

Analyst Sam Daodu says the next two weeks decide the move. Three dates matter.

- Ceasefire deadline April 22. If the Iran–US truce lapses, risk-off returns and crypto likely falls. Daodu ties the expiry to market risk. See his context on geopolitics and regulation in geopolitical risk and regulatory momentum and the Iran backdrop in this cited piece.

- CLARITY Act markup in late April. If the Senate Banking Committee slips beyond May, Daodu expects it shelved until 2027, removing a 2026 catalyst for XRP. Policy track reference: CLARITY Act coverage.

- FOMC on April 28–29. The Fed is expected to hold at 3.50%–3.75%. Alone, likely small impact. Combined with a ceasefire breakdown and a CLARITY delay, a hawkish surprise could amplify downside. See Daodu’s pairing of risks in this analysis.

Price paths for the next two weeks:

- Bullish case: $1.50–$1.90. Needs CLARITY markup before end‑April and an extended ceasefire beyond April 22. Daodu eyes the 200‑day near $1.90 by May, with sustained ETF inflows and strength in Bitcoin (BTC). Reference: CLARITY Act track and ceasefire context.

- Base case: $1.35–$1.50. Ceasefire extends, CLARITY slips to May.

- Bearish case: $1.15–$1.30. War resumes after April 22 and oil moves back above $100, pressuring crypto. If BTC breaks below $70,000, Daodu sees a retest of $1.15. Oil risk: market read on oil and crypto.

At writing, XRP trades near $1.49. Seven‑day gain 10%. Fourteen‑day gain 13%.