BEARISH 📉 : Analyst projects Bitcoin will drop 30% to $50,000 on downside breakout
Maxi Trades warns of another leg down for Bitcoin. He maps a 30%–36% drop toward ~$50,000 after a 2.5+ month range per his crash call and post on X.
Bitcoin rebounded above $78,000, but he sees no “true bottom” yet after the latest bounce.
He argues the market stays in a bear trend more than six months after the October 2025 all-time high above $126,000 bear-market context and ATH reference.
What he’s watching
- The range has lasted over 2.5 months. Past ranges broke after 64–114 days per his X chart.
- First prior case: 64 days sideways, then +14% historical example.
- Second: 114 days, then about −27% X chart.
- Third: 77 days, then −33% X chart.
He expects the next breakout to skew down. Downside risk stays on the table risk backdrop.
Target if lows break: ~$50,000. That implies roughly 30%–36% from levels above $78,000 bottom target and X post.
He also notes the range could persist a bit longer before the move, consistent with past consolidations timing view.