Bitcoin trades at $77K, faces on-chain resistance at $82K, $91K

On-chain data maps the next hurdles for Bitcoin. Price holds near $77K after a 2.12% weekly move.

BTC climbed from ~$67K to ~$77K in the last three weeks. But realized-price bands point to heavy resistance ahead.

- $82K STH realized price. Short-term holders’ average cost basis. When price approaches, many are at breakeven and may sell, creating resistance. Source: Axel Adler Jr on X

- $91K 3–6m realized price. Mid-term cohort’s cost basis. If BTC is below it, a portion may exit at breakeven, adding sell pressure. Source: Axel Adler Jr on X

“Bitcoin’s nearest resistance zones are now clearly visible on-chain,” wrote Adler Jr. He flagged $82K and $91K while BTC traded below both.

To exit the bear phase that started in October 2025, BTC must clear both bands, signaling renewed conviction across cohorts.

Price and targets. BTC trades at $78,028, +0.66% 24h and +12.29% in a month. CoinCodex analysts guide to $83,262 in 5 days, $80,015 in 1 month, and $91,575 in 3 months, implying gradual gains with consolidations if the rally holds.