Toncoin tests key $1 support; BTC 200 SMA guides next move

Toncoin tests the $1 floor. The TON/BTC 200 SMA is the switch.

Analyst Umair Crypto notes RSI broke its trendline and reclaimed 50 on TON/BTC, hinting early momentum on X and in a recent rundown at NewsBTC.

The BTC pair has ranged 166 days. Pressure is building per the RSI shift here.

On TON/USDT, price tries to reclaim the 50 SMA. Early strength, not confirmed per this update.

What flips the range:
- A close above the 200 SMA on TON/BTC supports a move up on TON/USDT per the analyst.
- A rejection at the 200 SMA risks a breakdown and a lower low below $1 per NewsBTC.

$1 is structural support, not just psychological. A failure opens faster downside per this analysis.

Fundamentals remain active. NewsBTC cites a $100 million AlphaTON treasury plan and TON Wallet’s US expansion, while price action stays range-bound here.

Watch the 200 SMA close on TON/BTC. That level decides $1 on Toncoin.