XRP rises 3% to $1.33 as XRP ETFs log outflows

3 min

XRP trades at $1.3351, up 3.01% on the day. Price action and ETF flows diverged: spot XRP funds saw net outflows on Sept. 17 while price rose, creating a mixed setup for near-term forecasts.

XRP ETF and Market Flows

• XRP spot funds: net outflow of 3.97 million XRP on Sept. 17. Canary’s XRPC: -1.06 million. 21Shares’ TOXR: -2.91 million. The outflow erased the prior session’s 2.73 million XRP inflow from Franklin Templeton’s XRPZ and ended a zero-redemption streak earlier in the week.
• Bitcoin ETFs: net inflow of 2,090 BTC on Sept. 17 after two red sessions (-3,910 BTC and -5,760 BTC). BlackRock’s IBIT added 2,410 BTC; small redemptions at Fidelity and Bitwise’s HODL.
• Ethereum funds: continued outflows but smaller magnitude, 16,260 ETH versus 93,490 ETH the day before, largely from BlackRock’s ETHA.
• Macro backdrop: a Federal Reserve rate hike on Wednesday is impacting risk assets.

Cumulative XRP ETF inflows since launch: 923.66 million XRP. One negative session does not reverse the longer-term inflow trend but highlights the question: is the current 3% price rise driven by conviction or short covering amid negative flows?

XRPUSDT Spot ETF Coinglass

XRP Price Levels and Scenarios

XRPUSDT Chart 1D TradingView

• Price reclaimed the 200‑day simple moving average at $1.2723 after breaking out from the $1.00 zone in late August.
• Horizontal support: $1.2611. A daily close below $1.26 would undercut both the 200‑day SMA and this shelf simultaneously.
• Resistance: $1.5368, a level capping rallies since the Q4 2024 spike.

Scenario map:
• Bull case: hold the 200‑day SMA, flows revert positive, push through $1.40 toward $1.5368.
• Base case: range between $1.27 and $1.40 while ETF flows oscillate.
• Bear case: continued outflows and a close below $1.2611 open a retest of $1.10, undermining the August breakout structure.

Signal priority: flows outweigh single candles. One redemption day is noise; three consecutive days would indicate the current bounce is a lower high.

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