Ted Pillows Predicts Altcoins Struggle as Fed Ends Quantitative Tightening

1 min

Market analyst Ted Pillows shared insights on altcoins' future as the Federal Reserve plans to end its Quantitative Tightening (QT) program.

  • The Fed will suspend QT runoff by December 1, 2025, reinvesting proceeds from maturing securities into Treasury bills to stabilize holdings.
  • Ted highlighted a historical pattern where altcoins fell 42% after the Fed's similar move in October 2019. Altcoins only began to recover with the start of Quantitative Easing (QE) in March 2020.
  • This suggests that ending QT isn't sufficient for altcoin rallies; QE actively expands money supply, benefiting riskier assets like altcoins.

Altcoins Need Liquidity

  • Ted stated the altcoin market requires liquidity through either the Fed starting QE or the Treasury releasing TGA liquidity.
  • The likelihood of QE is low, and the TGA option depends on resolving the US government shutdown that began on October 1, 2025.
  • Ted anticipates potential underperformance in the crypto market for some time.

BTC, ETH, and other altcoins may be affected by these developments.