Bitcoin monthly data signal higher prices likely this month ahead of FOMC

2 min

Monthly signals turn constructive for Bitcoin. The monthly low may be in, raising odds of upside.

Higher time frames show a possible shift in market structure, aligning with long-term fractals reported earlier.

  • Over the last 10 years, 97.7% of monthly highs and lows form within the first 15 days. This points to the recent low likely holding through month-end source.
  • 80.7% of months go on to print a new P2 after day 17, raising the probability of upward momentum this month source, with near-term dynamics discussed here.

A timing model just broke its 14th‑day pattern for the first time in 7 months. Trader Killa says there were five tradable occurrences in that stretch source.

Bitcoin

This is a single pivot deviation, not a trend break. It adjusts how price reacts around that pivot, while the broader structure stays intact source. The repeated setup identified directional volatility windows and produced 5 high‑quality entries over 7 months, with the pattern context discussed here.

Attention shifts to macro. The upcoming FOMC is flagged as a potential inflection point for BTC context, with historical post‑Fed volatility risks outlined here.

Headline: Monthly stats flag likely BTC low; FOMC eyed as next pivot