Analysts predict Bitcoin drop to $50k before sustained rally

Crypto Bully outlined a base case for Bitcoin. He sees room for a pullback to $65k–$50k, while a break above ~$72k could target $85k (X post).

He says the downtrend isn’t finished. Bear bottoms take months, not weeks. His chart leaves a path to $50k in a deeper flush, with $65k near term. A clean move over ~$72k could run toward $85k (X post).

• $72k breakout zone. $85k as “logical lower high” from prior value area (X post).
• Pullback map. $65k first, $50k possible in a prolonged bottoming phase (X post).

He adds that ETF demand still supports the market. US spot BTC ETFs saw a $767M net inflow this week (SoSoValue data).

On strategy, he prefers DCA on dips from $65k down to $50k. His current spot cost basis is ~$67k (X post).

CryptoQuant says the bottom is “not quite” in. The market sits in a stress-test phase, with institutions driving the cycle (CryptoQuant analysis). Two paths to a durable floor:

• Fast path. A Black Swan flush that forces liquidations and sets a floor in 1–2 months (CryptoQuant analysis).
• Slow path. Sideways $60k–$80k for about a year as new money matures, stretching the bear phase to late 2026 or early 2027 (CryptoQuant analysis).

The backdrop includes ongoing geopolitical tensions that have tested BTC’s resilience (context).