PlanB model projects $500k Bitcoin average for 2024–2028 cycle
PlanB says the Stock-to-Flow model points to a ~$500,000 average for Bitcoin this cycle. He cites 2024–2028 as the window and a $250,000–$1,000,000 band. PlanB’s post notes this is a cycle average, not a ceiling.
The premise is simple. Halvings slow new supply. If demand holds or rises, price follows. See the history and the April 2024 halving date on Gemini: Bitcoin halving history.
Not everyone agrees. Analyst Bobby A sees $200,000–$250,000 by 2026–2027 and calls S2F a broad guide, not a precise target model. Bobby A’s post outlines the range and rationale.
What’s pressuring price now:
- Geopolitical risk remains elevated. See Al Jazeera’s live coverage.
- Spot Bitcoin ETF flows have turned choppy after a strong start in early 2024. Track activity on ETFdb: Bitcoin ETF flows.
Bottom line for this cycle: PlanB targets a $500k average via S2F; others peg upside nearer $200k–$250k through 2027.
